Saturday, October 25, 2014

How Did Economists Get It So Wrong




How Did Economists Get It So Wrong?

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Published: September 2, 2009
I. MISTAKING BEAUTY FOR TRUTH

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http://www.nytimes.com/2009/09/06/magazine/06Economic-t.html?pagewanted=all&_r=0


*Click on link above for article.






MY COMMENTS*********************************************************






This article proves that no one basically can predict the future. Of course, not the financial future anyway. Certain predictions depend on variables that no one can plot, plan or verify. The above cartoon, showing one aspect of our economics discipline, shows the sheep as variables that are surrounding an investor. He did not plan on that many and he is being smothered.


The stock market is something that I myself have dabbled with over the years and with only a few stocks I see rises and falls. It is unpredictable as the weather and the weatherman has been wrong from time to time as well. We can only try to gather as much information as we can in order to predict a possible outcome by the available facts, none of which is guaranteed. The recent housing market collapse, Banks and automobile companies running to congress for bailouts and super aggressive markets show a force of areas where people are saying what will fail next.





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